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Psychological Test and Assessment Modeling, 2024.66:50-62
The impact of filtering out rapid-guessing examinees on PISA 2015 country rankings
Abstract:
International large-scale assessments are low-stakes tests for examinees and their motivation to perform at their best may not be high. Thus, these programs are criticized as invalid for accurately depicting individual and aggregate achievement levels. In this paper, we examine whether filtering out examinees who rapid-guess impacts country score averages and rankings. Building on an earlier analysis that identified rapid guessers using two different methods, we re-estimated country average scores and rankings in three subject tests of PISA 2015 (Science, Mathematics, Reading) after filtering out rapid-guessing examinees. Results suggest that country mean scores increase for all countries after filtering, but in most conditions the change in rankings is minimal, if any. A few exceptions with considerable changes in rankings were observed in the Science and Reading tests with methods that were more liberal in identifying rapid guessing. Lack of engagement and effort is a validity concern for individual scores, but has a minor impact on aggregate scores and country rankings.
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